Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 4.343510 4.818063 5.325256 5.908121 6.560034 7.267370 8.093862
2026-01-25 3.508368 4.148156 4.879845 5.780506 6.862068 8.122452 9.707512
2026-02-01 2.932560 3.654974 4.528858 5.668225 7.121039 8.920203 11.330536
2026-02-08 2.512473 3.274067 4.240284 5.563533 7.340307 9.659895 12.944313
2026-02-15 2.214467 2.999592 4.037867 5.522489 7.609006 10.463740 14.711324
2026-02-22 2.033256 2.851765 3.975506 5.646544 8.094988 11.592376 17.040379
2026-03-01 1.839181 2.660124 3.825203 5.619192 8.347613 12.398867 18.977084
2026-03-08 1.639406 2.436815 3.602385 5.453978 8.365903 12.843504 20.393192
2026-03-15 1.499412 2.286407 3.469032 5.403718 8.544233 13.536470 22.262374
2026-03-22 1.419849 2.219203 3.453023 5.529940 9.007223 14.717827 25.059809
2026-03-29 1.349843 2.159358 3.440819 5.657037 9.478183 15.951584 28.080621
2026-04-05 1.264618 2.066604 3.365973 5.669934 9.751960 16.870088 30.637807
2026-04-12 1.170886 1.953684 3.251117 5.608705 9.899297 17.598088 32.966686
2026-04-19 1.081739 1.841095 3.127267 5.519884 9.987912 18.229195 35.191842
2026-04-26 1.001209 1.736583 3.008220 5.427621 10.059079 18.832206 37.433142
2026-05-03 0.928663 1.640088 2.894911 5.334366 10.116863 19.411692 39.693240
2026-05-10 0.871444 1.566450 2.816329 5.298221 10.279615 20.210002 42.505666
2026-05-17 0.840652 1.538701 2.819309 5.418343 10.763056 21.701919 47.002379
2026-05-24 0.793472 1.476351 2.751981 5.392858 10.945310 22.586608 50.257336
2026-05-31 0.734266 1.386497 2.624879 5.235079 10.834330 22.833723 52.075143
2026-06-07 0.692949 1.328229 2.554567 5.187122 10.951420 23.585024 55.171285
2026-06-14 0.673348 1.311301 2.564623 5.307983 11.447827 25.231632 60.655239
2026-06-21 0.654893 1.295199 2.574858 5.429640 11.957335 26.961853 66.583955